- 6 May, 2026
Clearer Strategic Objectives… New Regional Arrangements- The War on Iran – 18
The ongoing conflict over Iran is no longer just a bilateral confrontation between the United States and Israel on one side, and Iran on the
UAE announces it will leave Opec
Abu Dhabi will exit the exporters’ group on May 1 to pursue an independent output strategy Assessment: UAE is gradually getting out from three strategic
From Escalation to Direct Aggression: The Case of Jordan in Disinformation Dynamics During the 2024–2026 Iran Conflict Cycles
Core Assessment In April 2024 was an Iranian escalation centered on Israel. 2026 marks a shift to direct Iranian aggression against multiple states, including Jordan.
The War on Iran 1: The Conflict Triangle
Three seemingly separate operational observations: First: While Iranian missile strikes against regional targets continue at the same rate and intensity, despite being significantly higher than
What are Iran’s potential next escalation tactics?
In my opinion, the answer is as follows: Iran usually avoids steps that could lead to a full-scale war, although it typically resorts to calculated
Managed Escalation vs. Forced War: A Regional Order Under Strain
The US is betting on a gradual escalation strategy, preferring to manage the conflict rather than ignite it. This involves the gradual deployment of US
US Combat Buildup in the Middle East as of the night of February
To date, the following have arrived in the Middle East: My comment: Dr. Sayed Ghoneim
How likely is a US–Israeli strike against Iran under the current circumstances?
First Proposition: No official statement, confirmed information, or trusted leak has been issued regarding the timing of a strike against Iran: It is essential to
Strategic Appreciation of the U.S. Strike Against Iran
First: General situation It is unlikely that the Iranian regime will respond to U.S. demands regarding nuclear negotiations, despite American pressure to force it to
Will The Saudi-emirati Rivalry Transform The Shiite Crescent Into The Saudi Crescent
Major General Dr. Sayed Ghoneim, PhDFellow, Military Academy for Postgraduate and Strategic StudiesChairman, Institute for Global Security and Defense AffairsVisiting Professor at Royal Military Academy,