“Fingers Are On The Triggers – Dedos En El Gatillo – الأصابع على الزناد – 一触即发 – 指は引き金の上に

Fingers Are On The Triggers is a new book authored by Dr. Sayed Ghoneim in English language as an Egyptian’s perspective of the Middle East, keeping up with events till mid-2021. It’s edited by David Willis from UK and published by Andromeda Publishing and Academic Services, UK.

http://www.andromedapublisher.com/

The book is based on Dr. Ghoneim’s Ph.D. political science thesis titled ‘National Security Strategies of Superpower Countries and Their Expected Impacts on The Regional Security of The Arab Region’, which he submitted and successfully defended at the University of Port Said, Egypt, in October 2020. The book was also published in Arabic in February 2021 and it is being translated into the Chinese language by the China-Arab Forum for Reform and Development (Shanghai). It is also being translated to Japanese language edition (in four parts) in 2021/2022. It’s also planned to be published in Spanish language in 2022 by the Defense University of Honduras.

To know more about the author, please follow the link: https://igsda.org/?page_id=12

Both the book and the doctoral thesis were prepared from the results of very productive series of seminars and discussions organized and chaired by Professor Satoshi Ikeuchi, Professor of Global Security and Religion at the Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology (RCAST) of the University of Tokyo, discussing with Dr. Sayed Ghoneim his thoughts ideas, when he was representing the Institute for Global Security and Defense Affairs (IGSDA-Online) during the seminars in Tokyo and online.

The academic and research partnership between the two parties contributed much to developing an objective analysis of current events and a logical anticipation for the future of the Middle East region at the political and security levels. This huge joint effort also supported the discussions in which Dr. Ghoneim participated while lecturing at other research and academic bodies in Japan, NATO, the European Union, the US Central Command, the Belgian Military Academy and the strategic studies centers in Beijing, Shanghai, Seoul, Taiwan, Tegucigalpa, and the Middle East itself. The new edition of the book in the Japanese language will be developed with important updates regarding the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea region.

To know more about Professor Satoshi Ikeuchi, see: https://www.rcast.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/research/people/staff-ikeuchi_satoshi.html

About the Book

“Fingers Are On The Triggers” is an Egyptian’s Perspective of the Middle East published in English language, showing different analysis of events following the Arab Spring revolutions and a future perspective.

This book is published in a very critical time, as the region is in the midst of competition for influence by a range of international and regional powers in the Middle East. The book analyzes important political events during the past decade and it provide an objective and clear-eyed look at the next decade.

The book answers several questions that concern everyone interested in the Middle East, such as;

  • Which are the great powers that are trying to create a new world order and supplant the United States during the next decade?

  • How do their strategies compete? What are the doctrines the leaders of these countries adopt in their foreign policies?

  • What are the strategic goals of these great powers, and how do they intersect in the Middle East?

  • Do these countries see each other as an enemy or a competitor, and how will they manage the issues between them – through cooperation, competition, or war?

  • Is the United States withdrawing from the Middle East or increasing its involvement, and how does it preserve its interests?

  • How does Putin think, why is he in the Middle East, and what are his next steps after Syria?

  • How does Putin achieve his goals with his lesser capabilities, which the most powerful country failed to achieve?

  • How does Putin manage the rivalry between the regional competitors for achieving his goal through a dual containment policy?

  • Who wins in the confrontation? Is it through organized chaos or a comprehensive strategy?

  • Does China advance superiority over competition? How does it seek to achieve the largest global initiative? Can China isolate its biggest competitor from its allies?

  • What are the differences between the three global initiatives in the Middle East: The Greater Middle East (GME), Belt and Road (BRI) and Free & Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP)?

  • Who are the true ‘regional powers’ in the Middle East and what are their strategic goals?

  • What are the reasons for the boldness of the Turkish and Iranian roles? What is the nature of relations and competition between them, and what is the Israeli position in that?

  • Which states are affected by the crises in the Middle East (the Palestinian issue – the Syrian, Yemeni and Libyan crises – the situations in Iraq, Lebanon and Sudan – the Iranian issue)?

  • What is the situation in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) position following the split and the reconciliation with Qatar?

  • What are the strengths of Egypt, and what is undermining its regional role?

  • What are the challenges confronting the Arab League, the GCC, and influential Arab states (Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Egypt)?

  • What is the future of the crises in the Middle East in the new decade? Which great power can formulate the global order and how will be the shape of the regional order of the Middle East in the New decade?

The author of the book has not neglected an attempt to anticipate the future of the region, giving his views on the expected changes to the strategies and policies of the active parties in the region, as well as examining their regional interactions.

In answering these questions, the book presents its propositions in three main time frames. The first covers the period 2011-2017, from the Arab ‘spring’ and its repercussions until issuing President Donald Trump’s National Security Strategy document in December 2017. The author reviews the national security strategies and the related policies of the United States, the Russian Federation and China as the three main poles of competition in the world, as well as those of Israel, Turkey and Iran at the regional level. He then reviews the international and regional rivalry between the three regional powers as well as Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, Qatar and Egypt as the active Arab countries in the region before ending with a clarification of the challenges consequent upon the strategies and policies of the great and regional powers in the context of new security dynamics.

In the second timeframe, the period 2018-2020, the author explains the most important international and regional developments that have affected the security dynamics in the Middle East region until Joseph Robinette Biden Jr. assumed the presidency of the USA and just before issuing his first strategy paper, ‘Interim National Security Strategic Guidance 2021’. This acts as a transitional phase to the third time frame, which extends over a decade from 2021 until 2030 and is an attempt to anticipate regional and international transformations and the expected impacts on the regional security of the Middle East as a future prospect.

The book is useful for decisionmakers and policymakers and diplomats, as well as academics, researchers, graduate students and university students because it is an updated reference that includes documented information in the fields of political science and national security in the Middle East region. It also useful for analysts, writers and journalists, in addition to all those interested in political and security affairs in the region.

Contents of the book

The book is divided into four parts in (517) pages, preceded by an introduction and ending with the references, as follows:

Part I: Maneuvers of the Great Powers:

Chapter One: The National Security Strategies of the United States  
Chapter Two: The National Security Strategy of the Russian Federation  
Chapter Three: The National Security and Defense Strategies and Policies of the People’s Republic of China  

Part II: Maneuvers of Armed Neighbours: Regional Security Policies:

Chapter Four: The State of Israel  
Chapter Five: The Republic of Turkey  
Chapter six: The Islamic Republic of Iran  

Part III: Intersections: Co-operation and Rivalry

Chapter Seven: The Strategic Rivalry between the Superpowers  
Chapter Eight: The New Security Dynamics: Competition amongst Regional Powers and Arab States  
Chapter Nine: Challenges Confronting Regional Security in the Middle East  

Part IV: Players and Theaters: The Middle East, Where To?

Chapter Ten: Political and Security Evolutions in the Middle East 2018-2020  
Chapter Eleven: The International Order 2021-2030: A Speculation  
Chapter Twelve: Anticipated Outcomes for Regional Security in the Middle East 2021-2030

References:

  • References in English language

  • References in Chinese language

  • References in Arabic language

List of Tables:

Comparison between global strategic initiatives in the Middle East
Schemes of the Regional Powers in the Arab region
Comparison of strategic resources and tools of the Great Powers
Main Causes of the challenges confronting Arab Region societies

List of Diagrams:

The span of US military power – US military commands worldwide
Operation “Euphrates Shield”
Operation “Olive Branch”
Framework of the Great Powers’ rivalry in the Middle East
Elements of comparison between the Great Powers
Iran surrounds Sunni Arab states without firing a shot
General framework of Regional Powers’ rivalries in the Middle East
Hotbeds of regional rivalries
Changes in the security dynamics in the Middle East
Most prominent terrorist organizations in the Middle East post 2011
Turkey’s Operation “Peace Spring”
Regional players and key countries in the Eastern Mediterranean
The Turkish-Libyan East Mediterranean maritime zone

Publisher

Publisher details:

178, Merton High Street,
London, SW19 1AY,
United Kingdom

Website: http://www.andromedapublisher.com/

E-mail: andromeda@andromedapublisher.com

Phone (UK): +44 756 3250 142

Book specifications, measures and price:

Paperback, 13.5×20 cm, 660 gram

525 Pages, 4 tables, 13 colored diagrams

Book price: $35.00 US.

How to get the book?

From Egypt:

Email: nsda@sayedghoneim.net – What’s app only (Egypt): +20 111 3407484

Email: gehadbehery0@gmail.com –  Phone & What’s app (Egypt)+20 109 480 5760

Email: ahmedragab10@hotmail.com –  Phone & What’s app (Egypt): +20 122 385 1363

From UAE:

Email: chairman@igsda.org – Phone & What’s app (UAE): +971 55 882 17394

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