- 15 May, 2026
“Iran / The Possible US Short-Term Military Course”
First: Facts: Second: My analytical view regarding the possibility of a renewed military strike against Iran, exploiting the results of the nearly month-long naval blockade:
WSJ: UAE secretly launched strikes on Iran during war, attacked oil refinery — report
https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-u-a-e-has-been-secretly-carrying-out-attacks-on-iran-f1745a0d Is this possible? First: In principle, it’s possible. The UAE has a clear strategic motive for such an action, feeling that Iran is targeting
“Egyptian Air Combat Detachment in the UAE”
The Egyptian and Emirati presidents visited the newly deployed Egyptian air formation in Abu Dhabi, which included 13 Egyptian fighter pilots and several Egyptian Rafale
“Between Demonization and Rapprochement: How Iranian Drama Has Shaped Egypt’s Image and How It Will Soon Reshape Its Relation With It?”
Following the Iranian Islamic Revolution, Iranian drama focused heavily on domestic affairs. However, it also featured prominently in several dramas, where the idea of the
Clearer Strategic Objectives… New Regional Arrangements- The War on Iran – 18
The ongoing conflict over Iran is no longer just a bilateral confrontation between the United States and Israel on one side, and Iran on the
UAE announces it will leave Opec
Abu Dhabi will exit the exporters’ group on May 1 to pursue an independent output strategy Assessment: UAE is gradually getting out from three strategic
From Escalation to Direct Aggression: The Case of Jordan in Disinformation Dynamics During the 2024–2026 Iran Conflict Cycles
Core Assessment In April 2024 was an Iranian escalation centered on Israel. 2026 marks a shift to direct Iranian aggression against multiple states, including Jordan.
The War on Iran 1: The Conflict Triangle
Three seemingly separate operational observations: First: While Iranian missile strikes against regional targets continue at the same rate and intensity, despite being significantly higher than
What are Iran’s potential next escalation tactics?
In my opinion, the answer is as follows: Iran usually avoids steps that could lead to a full-scale war, although it typically resorts to calculated
Managed Escalation vs. Forced War: A Regional Order Under Strain
The US is betting on a gradual escalation strategy, preferring to manage the conflict rather than ignite it. This involves the gradual deployment of US