Articles

From Escalation to Direct Aggression: The Case of Jordan in Disinformation Dynamics During the 2024–2026 Iran Conflict Cycles

Core Assessment In April 2024 was an Iranian escalation centered on Israel. 2026 marks a shift to direct Iranian aggression against multiple states, including Jordan.

Articles

Forecasting in an Uncertain World: The Tipping Point and the Volatile Dynamics in an Unstable Region

  Mounting Tension: Similar to a pressure system reaching capacity, the scenario involves escalating stress or conflict that accumulates over time within a specific geopolitical

Articles

Forecasting in an Uncertain World:Navigating the Grand Strategy Chessboard

Navigating the Grand Strategy Chessboard: Orchestrating Influence and Stability Scenario To deal with the future we have to deal with possibilities. Analysis will only tell