- 23 March, 2026
From Escalation to Direct Aggression: The Case of Jordan in Disinformation Dynamics During the 2024–2026 Iran Conflict Cycles
Core Assessment In April 2024 was an Iranian escalation centered on Israel. 2026 marks a shift to direct Iranian aggression against multiple states, including Jordan.
Missiles and Meaning: Iran’s Strategic Use of Religious Rhetoric
In response to Israel’s “Rising Lion” operation, Iran launched an unprecedented wave of ballistic missiles, pairing kinetic force with religious symbolism to project moral authority
Forecasting in an Uncertain World: The Tipping Point and the Volatile Dynamics in an Unstable Region
Mounting Tension: Similar to a pressure system reaching capacity, the scenario involves escalating stress or conflict that accumulates over time within a specific geopolitical
Forecasting in an Uncertain World:Navigating the Grand Strategy Chessboard
Navigating the Grand Strategy Chessboard: Orchestrating Influence and Stability Scenario To deal with the future we have to deal with possibilities. Analysis will only tell